Journal of Applied Sciences ›› 2013, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (4): 411-417.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0255-8297.2013.04.012

• Computer Science and Applications • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Chaotic Time Series Prediction Based on Optimal Training Subset Online Fuzzy LSSVM

WEN Xiang-xi, MENG Xiang-ru, LI Ming-xun   


  1. Institute of Information and Navigation, Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an 710077, China
  • Received:2011-08-12 Revised:2012-04-02 Online:2013-07-27 Published:2012-04-02

Abstract: An optimal training subset online fuzzy least squares support vector machine (OTSOF-LSSVM) is proposed for chaotic time series prediction. Samples nearest to the prediction sample in both time and space are chosen to form the optimal training subset. An "-insensitive function is introduced to formulate the fuzzy membership. Thus a prediction model is established by fuzzy LSSVM. The subset and model are updated with the moving time window. Computational complexity is reduced by matrix partitioning. Experiment of predicting the time-variant chaotic time series Ikeda shows that the proposed method has better accuracy and high training speed as compared to offline and online LSSVM.

Key words: chaotic time series, online prediction, optimal training subset, fuzzy-logic, support vector machine(SVM)

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