中文

Journal of Applied Sciences >

2023 , Vol. 41 >Issue 3: 500 - 514

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.0255-8297.2023.03.011

Computer Science and Applications

Multi-dimensional Forecasting Method for Development Trend of Beidou Satellite Navigation Industry

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  • 1. State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China;
    2. State Grid Shanghai Electric Power Company, Shanghai 200437, China;
    3. School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, China;
    4. Institute of Central China Development, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, China

Received date: 2022-08-04

  Online published: 2023-06-16

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Abstract

Aiming at the forecasting demands for different dimensions of market output value during the development of Beidou market, an output value forecasting model for Beidou market is constructed from three different dimensions, including overall output value, industry chain, and market value of listed companies. This paper studies and compares the output value prediction methods and accuracy of different forecasting models from the perspective of the overall market output forecasting demand, and obtains model selection references under different conditions. Then, based on the output value data of the industrial chain, different economic forecasting models are used to make statistical prediction of a single industrial chain or the overall output value. Finally, we track and forecast the market output value of specific listed companies and the overall Beidou market in different dimensions and levels. Finally, the accuracy and feasibility of different models and methods are analyzed through experimental verification, and the applicable methods are investigated under different data bases and forecast demands. Data and decision support are provided for Beidou market output value forecast in different dimensions.

Key words： Beidou satellite navigation industry; grey system theory; Logistic equation; auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model

Cite this article

LIU Zhanjie, SUN Yixin, YUAN Jiaqi, LIU Zhe, TANG Xuehua, ZHANG Yongsheng, GAO Mingzhe . Multi-dimensional Forecasting Method for Development Trend of Beidou Satellite Navigation Industry[J]. Journal of Applied Sciences, 2023 , 41(3) : 500 -514 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0255-8297.2023.03.011

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