土地利用变化分析及时空动态模拟

doi:10.3969/j.issn.0255-8297.2017.03.007

应用科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 337-345.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0255-8297.2017.03.007

土地利用变化分析及时空动态模拟

曹青^1,2, 张鹏林^1,2, 李维庆³, 栾奕⁴

1. 武汉大学遥感信息工程学院, 武汉 430079;
2. 武汉大学地球空间信息技术协同创新中心, 武汉 430079;
3. 四川省第二测绘地理信息工程院, 成都 610000;
4. 深圳市水务技术服务有限公司, 广东深圳 518000

收稿日期:2016-07-20 修回日期:2016-09-05 出版日期:2017-05-30 发布日期:2017-05-30
通信作者: 张鹏林，教授，研究方向：变化检测与分析、GIS工程，E-mail：zpl@whu.edu.cn E-mail:zpl@whu.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金（No.41331175）资助

Analysis and Spatio-temporal Dynamic Simulation of Land Use Change

CAO Qing^1,2, ZHANG Peng-lin^1,2, LI Wei-qing³, LUAN Yi⁴

1. School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China;
2. Collaborative Innovation Center of Geospatial Information Technology, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China;
3. Sichuan Second Geographic Information Engineering Institute of Surveying and Mapping, Chengdu 610000, China;
4. Shenzhen Water Technology Service Co., Ltd, Shenzhen 518000, Guangdong Province, China

Received:2016-07-20 Revised:2016-09-05 Online:2017-05-30 Published:2017-05-30

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在分析土地利用变化的速度、程度和区域差异性基础上，以CLUE-S模型为框架，构建土地利用时空变化格局模拟模型。以天津市为研究区域，动态模拟了2020年的土地利用情景，揭示天津市未来土地利用变化态势，模拟结果对土地利用规划与管理具有指导作用。

关键词: CLUE-S模型, 土地利用, 变化分析, 动态模拟

Abstract:

A simulation model on the spatio-temporal pattern of land use change is designed with conversion of land use and its effects at small region extent (CLUE-S) as a modeling framework based on analyses of the rate, degree, and regional difference of land use change. The method is used to perform dynamic simulation of land use of Tianjin in 2020 to predict the change trend of land use. Simulation results show that the proposed method can provide a guide to the land use planning and management.

Key words: land use, CLUE-S model, dynamic simulation, change analysis

中图分类号:

TP79

曹青, 张鹏林, 李维庆, 栾奕. 土地利用变化分析及时空动态模拟[J]. 应用科学学报, 2017, 35(3): 337-345.

CAO Qing, ZHANG Peng-lin, LI Wei-qing, LUAN Yi. Analysis and Spatio-temporal Dynamic Simulation of Land Use Change[J]. Journal of Applied Sciences, 2017, 35(3): 337-345.

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土地利用变化分析及时空动态模拟

Analysis and Spatio-temporal Dynamic Simulation of Land Use Change

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