应用科学学报 ›› 2006, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (6): 633-636.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

铁路接触网系统的Markov分析

万毅1, 邓斌1, 李会杰2, 田志军2, 柯坚1   

  1. 1. 西南交通大学机械工程学院, 四川成都 610031;
    2. 铁道部第一勘察设计院, 甘肃兰州 730000
  • 收稿日期:2005-10-08 修回日期:2005-12-27 出版日期:2006-11-30 发布日期:2006-11-30
  • 作者简介:万毅,博士生,研究方向:驱动技术与智能系统,E-mail:yiwan246@126.com;邓斌,教授,博导,研究方向:柱塞泵特性;柯里,教授,博导,研究方向:水压传动.
  • 基金资助:
    铁道部重点资助项目(2003J030)

Analysis of Railway Catenary System Based on Markov Theory

WAN Yi1, DENG Bin1, LI Hui-jie2, TIAN Zhi-jun2, KE Jian1   

  1. 1. School of Mechanical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China;
    2. First Institution of Railway Survey and Design, Lanzhou 730000, China
  • Received:2005-10-08 Revised:2005-12-27 Online:2006-11-30 Published:2006-11-30

摘要: 根据接触网的可修特性,采用马尔可夫(Markov)理论和数理统计的原理,建立了接触网可靠性分析的数学模型,推导出了接触网系统的稳态有效度、可靠度和平均故障间隔时间等重要特征量的计算公式.用此模型对宝成线的可靠性进行了预测和分析,在同国外接触网系统的可靠性进行比较的基础上,提出了提高我国接触网系统可利用度的有效措施.为铁路系统的可靠性设计、维护和科学管理提供了理论依据和新的方法.

关键词: 接触网系统, 有效度, 可靠性分析, 马尔可夫理论

Abstract: Reliability of the railway catenary system is a key to the safety of trains.In this paper, a mathematical model is established using the Markov theory and statistics based on the repairable characteristics of catenary.Availability, reliability and the mean failure time are derived.Reliability of the Bao-Cheng Railroad is analyzed and forecasted with the model.It is compared with the reliability of overseas catenary.Effective measures are proposed to improve catenary reliability.This study provides a theoretical basis and a new method for reliability design, maintenance and management of the railway system.

Key words: Markov theory, availability, catenary system, reliability analysis

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