Journal of Applied Sciences ›› 2017, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 337-345.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0255-8297.2017.03.007

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Analysis and Spatio-temporal Dynamic Simulation of Land Use Change

CAO Qing1,2, ZHANG Peng-lin1,2, LI Wei-qing3, LUAN Yi4   

  1. 1. School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China;
    2. Collaborative Innovation Center of Geospatial Information Technology, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China;
    3. Sichuan Second Geographic Information Engineering Institute of Surveying and Mapping, Chengdu 610000, China;
    4. Shenzhen Water Technology Service Co., Ltd, Shenzhen 518000, Guangdong Province, China
  • Received:2016-07-20 Revised:2016-09-05 Online:2017-05-30 Published:2017-05-30

Abstract:

A simulation model on the spatio-temporal pattern of land use change is designed with conversion of land use and its effects at small region extent (CLUE-S) as a modeling framework based on analyses of the rate, degree, and regional difference of land use change. The method is used to perform dynamic simulation of land use of Tianjin in 2020 to predict the change trend of land use. Simulation results show that the proposed method can provide a guide to the land use planning and management.

Key words: land use, CLUE-S model, dynamic simulation, change analysis

CLC Number: